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15-day forecast for Arbon

Right now

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From 27 Sep to 12 Oct in Arbon: 2 day(s) of clear skies expected, highs from 15 to 26 °C and 44.4 mm of precipitation in total. Day-by-day table (Open-Meteo model).

DayWeatherMinMaxPrecip.WindConfidence
Todaysunny8 °C23 °C0.0 mm6 km/hhigh
Tomorrowpartly cloudy10 °C26 °C0.0 mm8 km/hhigh
Tue 29 Sepovercast14 °C24 °C0.0 mm8 km/hhigh
Wed 30 Sepovercast15 °C25 °C0.0 mm8 km/hhigh
Thu 1 Octlight rain15 °C20 °C4.7 mm8 km/hmedium
Fri 2 Octfog15 °C19 °C0.9 mm5 km/hmedium
Sat 3 Octfog14 °C20 °C0.0 mm6 km/hmedium
DayWeatherMinMaxPrecip.WindConfidence
Sun 4 Octshowers14 °C18 °C10.3 mm7 km/h
Mon 5 Octshowers15 °C17 °C10.2 mm14 km/h
Tue 6 Octdrizzle13 °C15 °C9.6 mm9 km/h
Wed 7 Octlight drizzle10 °C16 °C1.5 mm7 km/h
Thu 8 Octlight drizzle11 °C17 °C0.9 mm9 km/h
Fri 9 Octlight drizzle12 °C15 °C2.1 mm12 km/h
Sat 10 Octlight drizzle10 °C15 °C1.8 mm5 km/h
Sun 11 Octlight drizzle10 °C16 °C2.4 mm11 km/h
Mon 12 Octovercast– °C– °C– mm– km/h

Confidence index: agreement of 4 independent models (ICON, GFS, IFS, ARPEGE) on the daily high and on rain. High = highs within 2 °C and the same rain verdict; low = more than 4 °C apart or models split on rain.

And at 20, 25 or 30 days? No model seriously forecasts that far. Climatology takes over: the October norm is 10.8 °C in Arbon, the November norm 5.8 °C (MeteoSwiss 1991–2020, monthly means measured nearby).

Frequently asked questions

Are these 15-day forecasts reliable?

Reliability decreases with the horizon: excellent at 3 days, good up to 7, indicative beyond 10. Each passing day sharpens the rest.

Can the weather be forecast a month ahead?

No, not day by day. That is why this page completes the 16 forecast days with the MeteoSwiss monthly norms for Arbon: the most honest estimate beyond two weeks.

meteo-ch.ch · Open-Meteo data, MeteoSwiss norms 1991–2020