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15-day forecast for Lugano

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From 27 Sep to 12 Oct in Lugano: 2 day(s) of clear skies expected, highs from 14 to 24 °C and 63.1 mm of precipitation in total. Day-by-day table (Open-Meteo model).

DayWeatherMinMaxPrecip.WindConfidence
Todaymostly sunny16 °C23 °C0.0 mm10 km/hmedium
Tomorrowpartly cloudy16 °C24 °C0.0 mm11 km/hmedium
Tue 29 Sepovercast14 °C22 °C0.0 mm9 km/hmedium
Wed 30 Sepovercast16 °C19 °C0.0 mm6 km/hlow
Thu 1 Octlight rain16 °C17 °C3.9 mm4 km/hlow
Fri 2 Octovercast16 °C20 °C0.0 mm7 km/hmedium
Sat 3 Octovercast16 °C22 °C0.0 mm8 km/hhigh
DayWeatherMinMaxPrecip.WindConfidence
Sun 4 Octlight drizzle12 °C23 °C0.9 mm7 km/h
Mon 5 Octlight drizzle16 °C18 °C6.3 mm4 km/h
Tue 6 Octheavy drizzle14 °C17 °C20.4 mm6 km/h
Wed 7 Octdrizzle11 °C18 °C5.4 mm5 km/h
Thu 8 Octovercast10 °C22 °C0.0 mm5 km/h
Fri 9 Octlight drizzle10 °C19 °C2.1 mm5 km/h
Sat 10 Octshowers14 °C14 °C11.1 mm3 km/h
Sun 11 Octshowers11 °C18 °C13.1 mm8 km/h
Mon 12 Octovercast– °C– °C– mm– km/h

Confidence index: agreement of 4 independent models (ICON, GFS, IFS, ARPEGE) on the daily high and on rain. High = highs within 2 °C and the same rain verdict; low = more than 4 °C apart or models split on rain.

And at 20, 25 or 30 days? No model seriously forecasts that far. Climatology takes over: the October norm is 13.2 °C in Lugano, the November norm 8.5 °C (MeteoSwiss 1991–2020, monthly means measured nearby).

Frequently asked questions

Are these 15-day forecasts reliable?

Reliability decreases with the horizon: excellent at 3 days, good up to 7, indicative beyond 10. Each passing day sharpens the rest.

Can the weather be forecast a month ahead?

No, not day by day. That is why this page completes the 16 forecast days with the MeteoSwiss monthly norms for Lugano: the most honest estimate beyond two weeks.

meteo-ch.ch · Open-Meteo data, MeteoSwiss norms 1991–2020